First Sponsor Group - Balloting Results

First Sponsor Group announced its balloting results where the invitation is 1.75x subscribed. I must say this is a weak subscription.

The public tranche balloting rato are as follows:

The probability of getting some shares if you apply is more than 50%, with those applying 10 to 49 lots getting 4 lots each. 

I don't see any big names in the placement tranche other than the cornerstone that was announced earlier but not part of the invitation and this is such a poor announcement where they did not even disclose how many shares were allocated to the three "substantial applicants" below other than a cursory "more than 5%". Terrible.

I have given my rating on this stock previously. If you asked me if i am "bearish" for its IPO debut, i have to tell you that my gut feel is that it should debut above its IPO price for a few reasons.

1. The shares are tightly held. There are no much free float and i believe the holders are strong hands and the tycoons have many friends.
2. The shares are fairly priced whereby the sponsor sold at book value but its at a discount to the market value. 

Having said that, i am not expecting a firework kind of debut as well. It will do well to hold between $1.50 to $1.60. Anything above $1.60 will be a bonus to me.

Happy IPOing.