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Singapore IPOs: Why I No Longer Cover Every Listing

Some readers may have noticed that I have not been writing about every Singapore IPO since last year. The simple reason is that life has become busier. Between my day job, an increasingly packed travel schedule, family commitments and desire to play more golf, I have become much more selective about how I spend my time.  Writing detailed IPO reviews takes time — reading prospectuses, analysing financials, comparing valuations and understanding the competitive landscape. While I still enjoy investing and writing, I no longer feel the need to cover every IPO that comes to market. Instead, going forward, I will probably focus only on IPOs where I am seriously considering investing my own money or where there is something particularly interesting that is worth discussing. I suspect this will make the blog more useful as well. Rather than writing about every deal, I can spend more time sharing my thoughts on the handful that I believe deserve attention. That bring...
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PEC Ltd


(IPO booth at Raffles Place)

Finally a mainboard listing in such a long time!!...

PEC is a specialist engineering group servicing the oil and gas, petrochemical, oil and chemical terminal and pharmaceutical industries. PEC is offering 2m shares for public subscription and 61m shares via placement at 40c each. IPO will close on 5 Aug 2009 at 12pm. The public will hold 26.5% after the IPO.

Revenue has grown from S$149.3m in FY2006 to S$314.6m in FY2008. The net profit after tax also increased by S$8.3m to S$27m in the same period. Revenue for 1H2009 is $220.6m and net profit is $12.4m, an increase by 88% and 8.35% respectively. Based on post invitation no. of shares 238m, the EPS for FY2008 is 10.55 cents. At the IPO price of 40c, the IPO is priced at 3.79x.

Assuming FY 2009 profit is S$29.2m, the EPS will be 12.3 cents. Currently Rotary is trading at 12.8x historical. If we give it a 30% to 40% discount given its 'smaller' size and newly listed status, the fair value PE range will be around 7x to 9x. That will translate into a fair value of 86c to 111 cents.

The IPO is attractively priced and offers good value and potential to more Middle East EPC contracts. Investors will do well to subscribe to this IPO as downside is limited.
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