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Wednesday, 5 December 2007

First Resources Limited

First Resource is one of the largest private sector of crude palm oil in Indonesia. There are 3 listed peers in Singapore, Golden Agri, Wilmar and Indo-Agri.

Total Offering: Placement 222 million shares and Public 3 million shares at $1.10 per share.
Manager and Underwriter: Citi
Sub-underwriter : UOB Kay Hian

FY 2006:
Revenue : US$ 94.7m
Net profit : US$ 38.8m

FY 2007:
Revenue : US$ 168m (Assume 1H07 x 2)
Net profit : US$ 75m (Assume 1H07 x 2)
EPS (post-IPO) : US 3.2 cents or Singapore 4.64 cents.

Based on IPO price of $1.10, it is priced at a FY07 PE multiple of 23.7x

Peers Valuation:

Golden Agri - Trading at FY06 Historical PE of 13x (use historical as Q307 a bit erratic)
Indo-Agri - Trading at FY07 Est PE of 23.5x
Wilmar - Trading at FY07 Est PE of 24.6x

First Resources is fairly valued based on FY07 projections and the IPO price of $1.10. Any upside is likely to come from the FY08 projections as well as the high interest from Bio-Diesel projects due to the high oil prices.

Heard that the grey is currently up +10c to +15c from the IPO price. If this counter was listed a 2 months back, it would have enjoyed a very decent debut. My view is that this counter will likely debut with a stag of 10% to 20% upside from IPO price. I would give it a 2 Chilli ratings for long term prospects and profitability and the good peer valuation and share price movement will likely lend further support to this counter.

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