Changtian Plastic & Chemical Limited

(IPO booth at Raffles Place. A very crowded week at Raffles Place for IPO booths)

Changtian Plastic & Chemical Limited ("Changtian") is engaged in manufacture and sale of adhesive tapes, release papers, BOPA films.

Public - 5m shares at $0.47. closing on 6 Nov

Placement - 210m shares

Manager - Boulton Capital

Underwriter - UOB Kay Hian

FY 06:
Sales: $107.59m
Net profit: $29.676m
Net margin: 27.6%

FY07: Projections
Sales: $140m
Net profit: $40m

No. of shares = 660m. EPS 2007 projection = 6.06 cents
EPS 2008 projections x 30% growth = 7.88 cents

Personally i dont really like this company. It reminded me of Luxking and CHT. Luxing has a lousy net margin of 5% and is trading at around 5-6x PE and is still 25% below its IPO price. CHT is only 12% above its IPO price , trading at 5-6x PE with net margins around 20%. While at market cap of > S$300m verus $141m for CHT and $38m for Luxking.

If i used 2008F EPS projections and a slightly higher-than-peer valuation band of 8x-10x PER due to its better margins, the fair value range is 63 cents to 78 cents, thus giving this stock a more than 30% upside from its IPO price.

Although it will be tough to get the IPO shares from the public tranche, I will sell on the first day if i get this since i dont really like the industry. Good luck!