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Singapore IPOs: Why I No Longer Cover Every Listing

Some readers may have noticed that I have not been writing about every Singapore IPO since last year. The simple reason is that life has become busier. Between my day job, an increasingly packed travel schedule, family commitments and desire to play more golf, I have become much more selective about how I spend my time.  Writing detailed IPO reviews takes time — reading prospectuses, analysing financials, comparing valuations and understanding the competitive landscape. While I still enjoy investing and writing, I no longer feel the need to cover every IPO that comes to market. Instead, going forward, I will probably focus only on IPOs where I am seriously considering investing my own money or where there is something particularly interesting that is worth discussing. I suspect this will make the blog more useful as well. Rather than writing about every deal, I can spend more time sharing my thoughts on the handful that I believe deserve attention. That bring...
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Dutech Holdings Limited


(IPO booth in Raffles Place on a rainy day)

Dutech Holdings business can be divided into 2 main segments:
(1) Design and manufacture of high security UL certified ATM and commercial safes;
(2) Deisgn and manufacture of high quality and reliable semiconductor instruments and parts and precision machining parts for semiconductor equipment. The prospectus is here.

Public offer: 3m shares at 33 cents each
Placement offer: 82m shares
Manager: OCBC Bank
Closing date: 31 July 2007

While the profit growth has been very impressive, that is quite misleading as it started from a very low base in FY2004. The net margin for FY2006 is around 25% and that is fairly decent in my opinion. The order book as of May 2007 is RMB 145.8 million. EPS for FY2006 using post-IPO no. of shares is around 2.918 singapore cents. Assuming a 100% growth in revenue for 2007 and a net margin of 25%, the sales for 2007 will be around RMB 376m and net profit will be around RMB 94m. The FY2007F EPS for 2007 will be around 5.74 Singapore cents.

Using a fair value matrix of 8x-12x (lowered after the bloodbath today), the implied fair value range will be 46cents to 69 cents. As usual, the public offer offers a low probability to investors due to its small size available for subscription.

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